I continue with my obsession as the numbers of pledged delegates outstanding diminishes. Despite the media hype, the window for Obama to clinch the nomination without superdelegate backing is getting narrower.
Using the CNN numbers and barring significant change in superdelegate alignment, we have:
Total delegates: 4,049
Total pledged delegates: 3,253
Pledged delegates not yet contested: 1,147 (35.2%)
Delegates required to win: 2,025
Obama delegates (incl. pledged supers): 1262, 763 req'd.
Clinton delegates (incl. pledged supers): 1213, 812 req'd.
To win on just current superdelegates and remaining pledged delegates, Obama would need 66.5% of the remaining pledged delegates, and Clinton 70.1%
Whether it comes down to their abstention, bullying, or independent choice, the superdelegates are going to have a major role in this process.
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